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There is a room with a large-ish group of people in it. Someone in it has won a lottery. How many people in the room have winning lottery tickets, if you had to estimate?
An MP being a spy is more likely than winning a lottery, but I still think it’s fair to say the vast majority aren’t. To the point where if it’s not zero one seems most likely.
Edit: Even if my conclusion turns out to be wrong, I stand by this logic. Vote me down all you want.
Yeah, but the return rate for stocks over the last century has been 10% per annum. I’m not making it up, this is what an actual financial advisor will tell you about the relative performance of real estate and investing, and why one or the other might be right for you.
You shouldn’t really be leveraging yourself to buy into an index fund. If you can buy a house outright that’s also a better deal than a mortgage.